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Abstract

Do ideas related to European integration influence vote choice in European Parliament elections in times of crisis? Economic crisis, bailout packages, and austerity measures have been the central agenda in Southern European countries for the last few years, and the strong, subsequent decline of trust in European institutions has been alarming. Citizens’ dealignment and realignment proved itself important in various demonstrations around Europe, particularly in Southern European countries. They cast their votes for new political parties, decreasing the vote share of older mainstream ones. In the case of European Parliament elections, there is a certain expectation that EU issue voting will be detected in Southern European countries since they have faced similar implementations of the crisis and congruent regulations from the European Union. Based on the European Election Studies (EES) data for the last three elections of 2004, 2009 and 2014, this paper looks for tracks of EU issue voting in Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain using conditional logit model. The models are also challenged using propensity to vote (PTV) afterwards to extend the understanding about the choices of voters.

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June 14th, 2016

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly – 5 + 1 Steps Away From Visa-Free Travel for Turkish Nationals

* This article has been published by Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union (with Melih Özsöz).   Aspired facilitation of the issuance of […]

June 7th, 2016

The European Response to the Refugee Crisis: Angela Merkel on the Move

* This article has been published by Istanbul Policy Center (with Bianca Benvenuti)   Executive Summary The European project has hit strong […]

March 15th, 2016

Stormy months on the Aegean: the refugee deal and its impact on Turkey-EU relations

* This article has been published by Real Instituto Elcano, Madrid, Spain (with Melih Özsöz).   Theme The refugee deal of […]

March 1st, 2016

Reshaping relations in the midst of crises: A bitter anniversary for Turkey-EU accession negotiations

* This policy brief has been published by Istanbul Policy Center (with Melih Özsöz).   Executive Summary Relations between Turkey […]

January 6th, 2016

A New Era in Spanish Politics: Time to Negotiate

* This article has been published by Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union (with Marta Paradés).   The question that has to be […]

December 21st, 2015

New politics in Spain: No more two-party dominance, it is time to negotiate

* This article has been published by Hurriyet Daily News   Spanish citizens went to the ballot box on Dec. […]

December 1st, 2015

How to read the next generation progress reports

* This article has been published by Hurriyet Daily News (with Melih Özsöz).   The annual progress reports prepared by […]

November 7th, 2015

Having won back his majority, Erdoğan must now focus on reuniting Turkish society

* This article has been published by London School of Economics European Policy and Politics (EUROPP) Blog   The November elections […]

November 3rd, 2015

Unas elecciones extraordinarias, unos resultados extraordinarios: Turquía ha vuelto a la mayoría absoluta

* Este articulo se ha publicado en Agenda Publica.   Como consecuencia de la imposibilidad –o, mejor dicho, de la […]

October 25th, 2015

Turkey-EU deal on migrant crisis: Just a tactical whitewash?

* This article has been published by Hurriyet Daily News (with Melih Özsöz).   Relations between Turkey and the European […]